syntax
Guardian
- Joined
- Mar 16, 2007
- Posts
- 258
- Avatar Name
- syntax error
My 98% return is now caused only from the very short period of time (3 weeks of log). It will be lower (about 90% - check Eve Damsel Online logs and more others).
^^ This.
Just my opinion, but I believe the odds algorithm to be based on time, not PEDs cycled. That's why you see global peaks and slumps across the board - eg. mining will go into a slump for a while where the hitrate is very low and you'll see very sparse globals and then it will have peak times where you see people HOFing every minute, and hitrates are good. It's true for all professions, but they are all on different cycles.
With that in mind, a 3 week period is a very short statistical sample, regardless of amount of PED cycled. The amount of PED you cycle simply amplifies the current trend. If the odds are currently bad, cycling more PED doesn't help you, it just makes your losses greater. If the odds are currently good, cycling more PED increases your gains.
If you want to play smart, the best thing to do when things start going bad is stop playing and try again later.