John uncguy43 Williams
Guardian
- Joined
- Sep 13, 2021
- Posts
- 287
For those who don't know me by now, I'm a fairly avid miner. Usually, I'll log 1-2 runs each night after work and each run typically takes about 2 hours between dropping probes and cleaning them up. So, all in all, we're looking at about 3-4 hours spent each night, and it's been this way for close to a year.
Over that time, I've come to meet a good number of other miners, many of which I've come to know and respect. This leads to natural conversations when we bump into each other in our various mining areas, and we always probe each other for our numbers. "How many drops have you made? What's your hit rate? Composition any good? Any big hits?" Yeah, it's fun. (Okay, admittedly not that fun. But at least we're making money, right?)
But, over time, these conversations have led to a discovery that makes me rather frustrated.
As you may know, I have had several big mining hits fairly recently. I usually score a 500+ HOF about once every 3 days or so and without using incredibly high MU amps. Now, this means that fairly often I am highly in the positive from a TT perspective when it comes to mining - and yes, I track my runs meticulously for all the naysayers out there. Since I began tracking my mining runs more closely three months ago, I am sitting at a TT return of ~124% on over 80k PED cycled. And this is technically an underinflated number because I include the MU cost of my amps in TT cost tracking. Why? Because I like to, okay?
Now, "with great power comes great responsibility!" With great TT returns comes great periods of volatility - I know and expect that. Many times after a period of great runs, I'll have a sour period where I am scoring TT returns of 50-70%. This I expect. After all, I can't take, take, take from MA without them getting it back. But the point of any activity in EU, and especially an activity as boring as mining, is that you can achieve enough MU to make a profit over time.
Whether I continue to TT profit or not over years...I don't know. Probably not if we're being honest with our expectations. But that's not the point of this post.
The point is this: I hate how OBVIOUS the giveback periods are.
Let me explain with an example. My last several runs looked like this from a TT return perspective:
On this most recent run (and the one before it), my hit rate was around 15-20% on 80+ drops each run. Ordinary hit rate ranges somewhere between 25-35% and is the "sweet spot" for where both MA and the player can win - MA getting a small take and the player making enough in MU (if they have game knowledge, skills, and the right tools) to have a small profit. A true win-win. An exceptional run is a hit rate that is 35%+ and this typically means the player is making a TT return, which is not sustainable for MA.
But here's the rub: while I'm having those 15-20% TERRIBLE runs - which, again, are to be expected - I can chat one of my miner buddies that I see running around in the same area and they can have a hit rate of 35%+ on more drops than me and a larger amp than me - all while using the same gear as me. This happens time and time again.
Don't get me wrong, I would take a positive TT return and volatility all day long. And yet, it admittedly continues to frustrate me to no end that - no matter how good my skills, gear, game knowledge - I can still have a terribly poor return in the same area using the same gear over a similarly reasonable period of drops as one of my friends or society members. This obvious clawback period is just that - so stinking obvious. I so desperately want EU to be a skill-based game of sorts, but there is nothing I can do to tilt the odds in my favor during one of these clawback periods, and that frustrates me.
What about you? Am I alone on a boat here? By all means, feel free to hurl insults, call names, and pick apart my data claims - I'm here for it
Over that time, I've come to meet a good number of other miners, many of which I've come to know and respect. This leads to natural conversations when we bump into each other in our various mining areas, and we always probe each other for our numbers. "How many drops have you made? What's your hit rate? Composition any good? Any big hits?" Yeah, it's fun. (Okay, admittedly not that fun. But at least we're making money, right?)
But, over time, these conversations have led to a discovery that makes me rather frustrated.
As you may know, I have had several big mining hits fairly recently. I usually score a 500+ HOF about once every 3 days or so and without using incredibly high MU amps. Now, this means that fairly often I am highly in the positive from a TT perspective when it comes to mining - and yes, I track my runs meticulously for all the naysayers out there. Since I began tracking my mining runs more closely three months ago, I am sitting at a TT return of ~124% on over 80k PED cycled. And this is technically an underinflated number because I include the MU cost of my amps in TT cost tracking. Why? Because I like to, okay?
Now, "with great power comes great responsibility!" With great TT returns comes great periods of volatility - I know and expect that. Many times after a period of great runs, I'll have a sour period where I am scoring TT returns of 50-70%. This I expect. After all, I can't take, take, take from MA without them getting it back. But the point of any activity in EU, and especially an activity as boring as mining, is that you can achieve enough MU to make a profit over time.
Whether I continue to TT profit or not over years...I don't know. Probably not if we're being honest with our expectations. But that's not the point of this post.
The point is this: I hate how OBVIOUS the giveback periods are.
Let me explain with an example. My last several runs looked like this from a TT return perspective:
117.54% |
82.32% |
82.03% |
146.97% |
101.95% |
79.21% |
147.94% |
150.25% |
78.21% |
78.97% |
63.35% |
On this most recent run (and the one before it), my hit rate was around 15-20% on 80+ drops each run. Ordinary hit rate ranges somewhere between 25-35% and is the "sweet spot" for where both MA and the player can win - MA getting a small take and the player making enough in MU (if they have game knowledge, skills, and the right tools) to have a small profit. A true win-win. An exceptional run is a hit rate that is 35%+ and this typically means the player is making a TT return, which is not sustainable for MA.
But here's the rub: while I'm having those 15-20% TERRIBLE runs - which, again, are to be expected - I can chat one of my miner buddies that I see running around in the same area and they can have a hit rate of 35%+ on more drops than me and a larger amp than me - all while using the same gear as me. This happens time and time again.
Don't get me wrong, I would take a positive TT return and volatility all day long. And yet, it admittedly continues to frustrate me to no end that - no matter how good my skills, gear, game knowledge - I can still have a terribly poor return in the same area using the same gear over a similarly reasonable period of drops as one of my friends or society members. This obvious clawback period is just that - so stinking obvious. I so desperately want EU to be a skill-based game of sorts, but there is nothing I can do to tilt the odds in my favor during one of these clawback periods, and that frustrates me.
What about you? Am I alone on a boat here? By all means, feel free to hurl insults, call names, and pick apart my data claims - I'm here for it