It is a simple calculation and compare.
if we have 1pec a week for 40 weeks
and 0 for 10 weeks (events)
and 4 pec for 2 weeks because of events or something
then we have 0.48ped a year
or 4.8% ROI
The historical return of index funds was 10% over the last years and only going to go up due to inflation that is happening now.
This means that to get a ROI comparable to dump money into index stock IRL the deeds need to sell for under 5PED.
Any investor that bought big amounts of stock either had a quick sell in mind or something spectacular to happen with NTI.
Either way their gamble didn't pay off and they try to sell with minimal losses.
* Disclaimer * English isnt my first language and post is rather long
* Disclaimer *
Even if this is a response to Entropia Dao it contains my general feeling on the topic (at this point in time). I did buy some NTI shares when it came out, with the intent to hold them, but when I saw the pressure from the sellers I sold them as I wasnt sure where the price would end up. I have been following the discussion on the topic and felt I wanted to express my point of view. Just one opinion out of many.
First of all. NTI shares hasnt been out long enough, in its current (and somewhat unknown) form, for anyone to draw any real conclusion on if the NTI investment is sound or not. We dont have any real data to support future claims. However we do have datapoints on NTI payouts so far.
With that being said, I do think there is validity to the argument that dividend payouts were slightly higer at start, since players wanted to test it out when it launched. But again - its really hard to predict activity and future dividend.
So I understand that you (Entropia Dao) are talking about big investors. But what is a big investor? Over 500 shares? 1k shares? 3k shares? 10k shares? Most stacks that are for sale has been 100-3k stacks with a few 10k + stacks. Not saying that we can draw any real conclusion on what the general player bought - to sell - but its prolly the best guidance we have atm. Lets look at the actual situation.
If u look at the
dividend payed out - SO FAR - I would say its a success. How can 1 missed payout not be a success? At many payouts performing better then CP shares, that are priced at around 15-16 ped atm (17- ped before). In what parallel universe isnt that a success?
Lets look at the case where people just
bought NTI shares to sell directly when it became tradable. If we look at the actual situation - then everyone that has sold, up until this point, has made a profit on thier sales. As its just recently they dipped below 10 ped. Thats counting out the dividend they also recieved.
Will there be people that make a bad investment? Will there be people that are to eager to sell, and in doing so lose out on value? SURE. I do it all the time lol.
Now that is for people that has sold up until this point.
For other investors (big and small) that has decided to keep thier shares. Buy more shares. Invest for the future. For them I cant say. We arnt even a year in to NTI dividend. We have no idea what MA wants to do - or NOT do. For people that has been around a while - they know what happend to both caly deeds and ark underG shares. Im not saying that the same will happen to NTI shares im just saying that thats in the past (History as you call it).
Are there better mobs to hunt for mu? Sure. Are there mu to be had on NTI also? Yes. Will people hunt there for codex? Yes. How will this effect the future? No idea.
Now when it comes to my own opinion of the future of NTI I couldnt really say. I see alot of people wanting to sell NTI shares (most likely to turn over thier ped fast from buying at 10 ped but there are also other reasons im sure) and thus the price goes down. Do I think that NTI is the best share/deed out there? No. But its also not the worst one. U start doing calculations on other deeds - at thier current price point - and compare to NTI.
With actual numbers.
Thats my 2 pec on NTI, up to this point. I wish I could be smart enough to know whats in the future tho :/
Whatever you do out there I hope lootius will bless your loots/claims/clicks and may the god of dividend shine its BRIGHT light on your pure soul.
~Zessti